Weekly Cryptocurrency Market Report: Bitcoin Slumps as US Economic Concerns Grow
This week, following the release of key economic data in the United States, market concerns about a potential economic downturn have been reignited, despite stronger expectations for a Fed rate cut. In this article, we summarize the significant events of the week, provide updates on on-chain data, and highlight events to watch out for next week.
Fear and Greed Index
The market sentiment shifted from neutral at 46.28 to fearful at 25.4 this week, entering the “fear zone” since September 4th, indicating a gradual shift from neutral to fearful sentiment.
Funding Rate Heatmap
The funding rate heatmap displays the changing trends in funding rates for different cryptocurrencies, with colors indicating the degree of funding rates (from negative in purple to positive in yellow). Major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH showed relatively stable funding rate changes, suggesting a calm trading sentiment without significant shifts in long or short positions.
Cryptocurrency Market Highlights
1. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization fell below the $2 trillion mark, decreasing from $2.08 trillion to $1.99 trillion, a decrease of approximately $90 billion.
2. Stablecoin total supply slightly fluctuated, decreasing from $157.72 billion to $157.7 billion, with a weekly decrease of -0.013%.
Bitcoin Insights
This week, Bitcoin ETF funds saw an outflow of $706 million, indicating a trend of capital outflows.
The Bitcoin rainbow chart shows the current price in the buy zone at $54,000, nearing the “panic sell” stage at $51,000, suggesting the market perceives Bitcoin as undervalued, potentially a buying opportunity.
According to Glassnode data, Bitcoin has experienced a 26% downward adjustment from the peak in this market cycle, consistent with historical patterns of 20-30% corrections before further price increases.
Ethereum Performance and Market Trends
Next week marks the two-year anniversary of Ethereum’s transition to Proof of Stake (PoS). However, data from Cryptoquant indicates a 44% decline in Ethereum’s performance compared to Bitcoin since the merger, with the ETH/BTC price dropping to 0.0425, the lowest since April 2021.
Bitcoin and Ethereum Correlation
Data shows a high correlation of 0.99 between Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), with their prices moving almost in sync. Additionally, BTC shows strong correlations with Binance Coin (BNB) and Solana (SOL) at 0.89 and 0.77, respectively, highlighting the close linkage of major cryptocurrencies with Bitcoin.
US Economic Indicators and Impacts
The US ADP National Employment Report recorded the smallest increase since January 2021, leading to Bitcoin dropping below $56,000.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the lowest job vacancies rate since January 2021, raising expectations of further Fed rate cuts.
ISM’s August manufacturing PMI index revealed a five-month contraction in the US manufacturing sector, raising concerns about an economic downturn and signaling potential risks.
Conclusion
In summary, the cryptocurrency market faces uncertainties with economic indicators pointing towards a possible recession. Stay tuned for upcoming developments and market trends in the cryptocurrency space.